A worker checks the valve of an oil pipe near Kogalym, Russia, January 25, 2016. /Reuters
Oil markets are starting to see a recovery as countries around the world begin to ease COVID-19 lockdowns, though long-term peak demand may be permanently eroded, Reuters reports Vitol's chief executive to say.
Russell Hardy, CEO of the world's biggest oil trader, said global oil demand sank by 26-27 million barrels per day (bpd) in April and predicts a year-on-year drop of over 8 million bpd.
"The market is going to flirt with optimism and pessimism for the next two or three weeks," Hardy said.
"The mist is becoming a little clearer. It's a bit easier to see the future, so the market is more able to make an educated guess about what that supply/demand balance looks like. We haven't had a monster rally. It's just a statement that the worst is over."
On Tuesday, Brent oil futures were around $29 a barrel LCOc1, up from around $20 at the beginning of last week.
More than 4 billion people globally are under some form of lockdown as the world continues its fight against COVID-19. Over the last week however, some U.S. states, several major European, India and some African countries begun easing restrictions.
But Hardy warns that the oil industry may never recover fully as humanity gets used to a different behaviour patterns.
"Do we go back to living as we did before? Therefore, has the trajectory for oil demand changed? If we're all expecting a peak in 2030, 10 million bpd up from here, is that 10 now 5 million bpd?" Hardy said.
Various oil majors such as BP and Shell have predicted peak demand from around 2030 to 2040.