Nearly eight million voters in Benin are expected to head to the polls this Sunday to elect a new president, bringing an end to a decade in power for outgoing leader Patrice Talon.

Talon is due to step down after two terms, leaving behind a mixed legacy of economic reforms and growth, alongside mounting criticism over political restrictions and rising insecurity in the country’s north.

Two-candidate race as opposition narrows

The presidential race has effectively narrowed to two candidates. The ruling coalition is backing Romuald Wadagni, the 49-year-old finance minister widely seen as Talon’s preferred successor.

He faces Paul Hounkpè, the sole opposition candidate in the race.

Analysts say the opposition faces an uphill battle. In January’s parliamentary elections, opposition parties failed to meet the 20 percent threshold required for representation, leaving Talon’s allies in full control of all 109 seats in the National Assembly.

Another prominent opposition figure, Renaud Agbodjo of the Democrats party, was barred from running after failing to secure the required number of parliamentary endorsements—a rule critics say limits political competition.

Security concerns shape the vote

The election comes against a backdrop of growing security challenges. Northern Benin has increasingly been affected by spillover violence from neighboring Burkina Faso and Niger, where militant groups linked to al-Qaeda operate.

Attacks have been attributed to Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin, which operates across the Sahel region. The tri-border area has become a hotspot for extremist violence, raising concerns about Benin’s ability to contain the threat.

Security issues were also cited in a failed coup attempt last December, when a group of military officers tried to overthrow the government. The plot reflects broader regional trends, where political instability, contested governance, and insecurity have fueled a wave of coups and attempted takeovers.